Dimensions: 230 x 150 x 30 mm, weight, 450 grams
As the philosopher Seneca warned of times in which the descendants surprised that the ancestors "so plain did not know." Thus our generation exactly not happened, there is foresight - with a variety of methods. What to see on the screen of the "future radar," said Pero Micic. How to interpret the signals on the screen, the reader can decide.
is not a future goal, as many unfortunately still believe, but a process. Not all people are equipped with the necessary sensitivity to detect this permanently in the background running process and properly evaluate. This is also the high number of wrong decisions declared in areas such as economics, politics or culture.
Willam Gibson, (by me times more frequently cited) is cyberpunk author of what sociologists call a little awkward " Futures Present , brought beautifully to the point:" The future is already here, just not yet evenly distributed. " For the present the future, we are often blind. We evaluate the act of departure, the radically new, without realizing that the main changes occur not in revolution but in homeopathic doses. The future is not always what is new, but always the other.
If the future, but even in the presence of "distributed", then lies in our technological world, believing nothing more detail, as the establishment of comprehensive monitoring stations, the distribution of the future on a radar screen (such as the distribution of traffic at flight level 100) to capture. Finish is the future of radar - a term that purports to be a way though it's really just about the clever marketing of feelings between uncertainty and creative drive.
By its future radar to distinguish clearly the author of the otherwise available in abundance trend reports, forecasts or scenarios that cause in his opinion, only confusion. Just because of his understandable criticism of the market of the future interpretations and methods of soothsayers, often enough in the tradition the augurs and oracles are facing is the book worth reading. The future research, he is - certainly not disinterested (he is the CEO of Future Management Group AG) - the concept over the future management, the task of structuring of knowledge and the exposure of design options that build on this knowledge. Therefore, his book is aimed primarily also to the representatives of the economy, which already identify future issues (have to). The author is aware of this, unfortunately, not the opposition of his own argument that the future depicted as open review of the radar will eventually be reduced but only to planning security markets.
His goal is to give a reliable overview of how the future just been distributed. The radar works by Micic therefore as follows: 1 Compilation - Take 100 current books and future prospective studies and gain first of all an overview. Which statements are made there? As the authors assessed for their respective topic in the future? 2. Structure - The Future topics are grouped into clusters that structure the book: Biossphärische, technological, political, economic and social future factors. 3. The radar function is ultimately the fact that one can see through five different glasses on the future topics for each direction are a specific target. This method is similar to the way remarkably uncreative the method of the six "thinking hats " which is being advocated in many books for ideas and creativity. This again goes to the legendary Walt Disney (inventor of Mickey Mouse and Donald Duck), who could in his brainstorming method afford even three different rooms, different schools of thought represented.
Micic gathered in this sense a wide variety of future factors in the aforementioned areas. Plenty of new finds are not among them, but that the author claims not so. The book provides for something which some authors of books about the future are too good. True to the motto of Odo Marquard t, a German philosopher who coined the motto "our heritage" is trying Micic 5000 years philosophy and theory of change in a "practical crash course" to teach. At least 30 pages of space it takes for this epic picture! This is structured so well that you can recommend it without hesitation. The reader is clear that change has always been in shape, direction, mechanism, and (social) assessment differed and still differ. This is also the real added value of the book. It shows that the future always depending on prevailing notions of (social, technical, etc.) adheres to change. The past, it shows the macro-historical perspective, is nothing but a collective memory.
This means nothing other than that there can be no neutral future, but only normatively framed, institutionally embedded, reviewed by Interest futures. Depending on the views and interests can come along an innovation as progress, as the decline or development. We are all involved in these assessments every day, that we "produce" incessantly future. Maybe we should give it a little more effort sometimes.
contribution to the future of mankind: first The realization that we do not have to wait for the new, because it is everyday life at all levels already. 2. The realization that the future (we all) can be made.
Pero Micic: The future of radar. The most important trends, technologies and issues for the future, 2006, 2 Edition. Gabal Verlag, Offenbach.
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