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divorce from Zeitgeist

Weight: 250 grams, dimensions: 210 x 145 x 15 mm

The demand for accurate forecasts by the science that will give as much "planning security", is the condition increased turbulence environment today louder than ever. Despite all the claims, the role of science - especially the social sciences - not undefine of uncertainty, but at best in the quantification of uncertainty bands.

The contributions of the anthology "Futures Present" revolve around the central insight that social science research differs radically from the future trend research. Between the small-scale exploratory-interpretive case study of qualitative research and "inevitably large and often crude present and future imagery ", produced by the trend of research, the two editors is a certain gap

And this has to do with the understanding of the sociologists. From a social science perspective, the purpose of forecasts do not explain it, what is, but to understand what we do. understand only those who want to can develop an idea of what this means something specific, or could mean. It follows for Hitzler & Pfadenhauer that social scientific forecasting, " to construct our social constructions of reality re-added to which we construct each possible. " Or talked with Jo Reichertz: social science and social diagnoses - that is the test of weak traces of strong arguments to be developed.

provide sociologists also (depending on the best case) "under the decision support information in the form of (qualitative) ethnographies of the present. And that is a little more than the work of trend scouts, who seek either to recognize the "Diffusionsträchtigkeit" or the "Outhipping potential" of social phenomena. In our time, it is increasingly a matter of think tanks in a controlled and secular visions produce, no longer depend on the realization of a transcendent Agency, but by the readiness to act the social actors concerned. Future looks very different interpretation of everyday life.

where we all are - as shown by Hubert Knoblauch & Bernd Schnettler in a central contribution of this volume, future researchers. Our own life is full of files and practical utopia pretriggered imagination. One could speak of a target destination and control function of this fantasized preliminary drafts, which is an integral part of our everyday life. Continuously we are dealing with the horizon open possibilities - nothing else is the future of social-phenomenological view.

The range of examples in this anthology is wide. It ranges of the just outlined future interpretation in everyday life, a social scientific analysis of management theories (Liebl), the diagnosis of re-offending of offenders (Feltes), the diagnostic ability of physicians (with very instructive dialogues) (Vogd), betting the ratio of research and (Behrend ), a wonderful display of different forecasting methods on the example of the problem, a first contact with aliens (Schetsche), to the criticism of the methods of trend researchers (Pfadenhauer) and the description of possible areas of existence at the transition into a new modernity (Hitzler).

learns Because of this large spectrum of readers also, what constitutes good sociology: the absence of large litters. "Who wants the 'Look, go to the play of light" - that even the founding father of sociology, Max Weber . "Those who expect the sociology visions, go to the cinema", a variation of the quote in honor of the French Grand Master Pierre Bourdieu . Sociology, as formulated by the sociologist Constance Hans-Georg Soeffner is "primarily rückwärtgewandte prophecy - the reconstruction of social structures and conditions of construction of reality" Good sociologist and the business adheres to the hype. Otherwise, there the danger has also warned against the Soeffner: "Whoever marries the zeitgeist, is widowed soon."

contribution to the future of humanity: A deep understanding of the social construction of ideas about the future conditions.

Ronald Hitzler & Michaela Pfadenhauer (eds): Current futures. Interpretive social science contributions to the diagnosis and prognosis. 2005th Vs Verlag für Sozialwissenschaften: Wiesbaden. ISBN 3-531-14582-7. Contents of the book here .

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I call it hype

Weight: 480 grams, dimensions: 210 x 135 x 30 mm

What have Furtwangen, Berlin and New York have in common? Nothing? But! It is each time staging of "digital bohemians", a new social class. At least if you Holm Friebe and Sascha Lobo believes.

You could tell the story like a fairy tale: Once there was a small group of people who did not have much other than their brains and their creativity. Oscar Wilde was not one of you, but it could have been the inspiration for the motto of the classic bohemian in Paris or London. When he arrived to America, he announced on duty: "I have nothing to declare, but my genious". These brilliant people came together and tried working in cafes, art and life to connect to a single concept. Unfortunately, this was only a few, but we now appreciate their pictures and books. These people and their alternative, independent way of life have shaped the culture of the West strong, although not nearly all lived like it: Most people, however, were conformists, always in search of security and good interest on their savings account. The bohemian but dreaming of more: "It is (...) about not only to live as you want, but to work, and want to live as one, while no compromises, and to brook no delay."

In the already well-known book by Friebe and Lobo traced the long way from traditional to digital Bohème Bohème. The new bohemians (as the old) usually located in large cities, the chief editor of the Berlin city magazine Zitty with the real (?) With Mercedes Bunz, this group once called "Urban Penner. An exception is Furtwangen secure. They are the IT and web specialists who work on projects linked to their lives even one Project, a constant struggle for attention in the network (Twitter, blogs), and the beat with difficulty but introduces its Employee-free life.

You could also tell the story differently: It is the postapokalytische (Grace Jones) version of a resurrection from the crisis. Since the 1980s in the industrial society go the jobs lost, people from once secure life and working conditions "set free". This is reminiscent of Jean Paul Sartre existence-philosophical approach, as he in his major work Being and Nothingness "is brought to the point:" Man is condemned to freedom ". The only problem is that most can not handle this freedom. Nevertheless, the digital bohemians looking for exactly this freedom. Jeremy Rifkin has in 1995 in his famous book "The End of Work" describes what to expect now becoming increasingly clear to us: Increased automation, streamlining and digitizing replaced human labor. People are "unnecessary" or "excluded" as the sociologist Heinz Bude, it pointed out. Rifkin looked at new elite on the horizon, the "symbol analyst". This term is borrowed from Robert B. Reich , a political science professor who was once secretary of state under Bill Clinton.

symbol analysts are people who can deal with codes (software, text, images). In Furtwangen be formed mainly just this symbol analysts. These codes are increasingly central to modern society, because it's about less and less to make products, but marketing ideas. Exactly these mechanisms marketing of intelligent software solutions and creative websites describe Friebe and praise from their own (Berlin) practice. You dröseln to some company diagnoses and then deal in great detail and rich experience with the various components of the digital economy, digital culture and digital life.

Like the old bohemian also try to bring it all together. And to be realistic: the "roving form of livelihood," symbolize the members of the digital Bohème is for them a sort of beta version of the always precarious living conditions of most (creative) people. Project Broken promises life but independence and autonomy, but also has disadvantages: contingency and decision-pressure, personal responsibility and self motivation are not innate in any / all. The "Life in the subjunctive Futur" (the title of a chapter) is just too exhausting. But we have a choice.

Contribution to the future of humanity: book and website show that one can be mistaken with much effort. Most people long (then as now) not for autonomy, but for orientation.

Holm Friebe & Sascha Lobo: We call it work. The digital bohemians or intelligent life beyond the permanent position. 2007 (5th edition). Heyne: Munich. ISBN 978-3-453-12092-1

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Flipper, the internet and I

Weight: 540 grams, dimensions: 210 x 135 x 30 mm

One of the latest attempts to be optimistic about the future of the media company to deal to set The book by journalist and blog form-founder Michael Maier. Even the cover makes it clear what it is: The left side of the imaged brain looks like, as one would expect, nothing but the brain turns. The right side is abstract and resembles an electronic circuit. The message is clear: converge human brain and electronic brain. They do, says Maier, less to do than to save the world.

starting point for future study by Maier are rather gloomy thoughts. Maier sees the human species in the apocalyptic age threatened by the increasing complexity of the problems. The world is ordered esschlecht: Even the Dalai Lama had given up because the problems of the 21st Century are no longer with the methods of the 20th century to resolve. Solutions must be developed in future completely different. In the digital industry and its representatives (including to himself) Maier sees the heroes of tomorrow. A "post-apocalyptic age" (Grace Jones) takes a radical new solution methods. Maier attributes recognizes the possibility of rescue. In humans, the mail, click and blogging (that all of us) he sees the Saviour of the World: "They work together and do something deeply meaningful. In the accelerated communication rituals of the network it detects an expression of existential hurry: "We communicate to our lives."

those who place all their hope in the Internet, can not agree with the pessimistic claims of the "old elite". The allegations of an increasing dumbing down by the Internet is Maier's utopia towards improving the world through a collective sharing of the network. It is, Maier, not degeneration but "a grand, collective effort." But what is this effort and what it opens?

sees the main benefits of the Internet it in the "collective thinking success", said the Internet a "super brain function" attributes, "The Internet is changing our brains. And although more sustainable than anything we have experienced so far in the field of communication and information. Intellectual panic attacks and starts through a world in which nothing is as it once was. (...) The computer has become part of us. " This is so far still nothing new, but a nice description of what else goes dry under mediatization and ubiquity of new media. But you can now avoid the "mastermind" of the Internet Apokalyspe?

seen in the Internet generation Maier members of a new class that he modesty the "heroes of Tomorrow "is called. The Digital Bohème , as it is called elsewhere, but differs from the "Heroes of Yesterday," Gandhi type. It's not about charisma, but the ability to network. So there is not one, but many heroes. In principle, an infinite number - which then arises a paradox: If all the heroes and / or elite, it is unclear how to then (other) is different. In any case, these heroes have new properties: "These heroes do not we recognize the fact that they stand out particularly from the crowd. Their strength lies in its ability to put themselves into the minds of others. The most important feature of the Elite Tomorrow is their ability to integrate. " The future form of heroism is therefore of no individualism. Collectivism is socially acceptable again.

And that was supposedly already thought from the outset. The fact that the Internet did not end military equipment as an exclusive, Maier writes of a "collective intuition" to "an instinct that led to the apprehension that huge potential exists in the global networking. To prove this, he cites a (closer inspection) is very ambiguous statement Tim Berners-Lee , who was with the birth of the Internet is: "The people the Internet and the Web have built, have the greatest esteem for the individual (...) If all individuals have the will to do, then we can collectively build a world that we want. " Appreciation for the individual and collective integration through networking - how does that work?

will recognize Maier In any case, that the network of human heads to a great mastermind now takes shape. He compared the Internet with the sonar system to communicate with the dolphins. In his comparison he draws (unfortunately) only to a single source, a book of developmental psychologist Kathy room ( doctor dolphin. How to help heal animals, 2004 ). This book is just one of many "miracle-books" that describe the use of dolphins in therapeutic contexts. What is so special about dolphins and why the Internet can be compared with their communication?

dolphins are constantly in contact with each other. One can speak of a "sinister rapid integration of perception" - that the dolphin researcher rooms - resulting from the interaction of local and long distance senses of the dolphins. In this form of "biofeedback" can (if you want to) see a new form of intelligence (the way a very nice example of a so-called social attribution process: intelligence is - from a sociology of knowledge perspective - that which we consider to be intelligent. Intelligence is not a property, but the result of an agreement).

Maier argues that people should make the Dolphins the same and develop a strong "we-consciousness". Similarities there are definitely: Communicating Like dolphins directly, we can communicate on the network without any agents and gate-keeper. Communication, Maier, thus "pure" and "direct", the Conditions for the enjoyment integration seems to be given: "The Internet must be the perfect human sonar system. (...) Without middlemen, we exchange information. (...) Top and bottom are less important than a maximum horizontal networking. Any feedback influenced your own thinking. (...) The community honored every contribution that helps the species. (...) We Osmotically to suck, and we pass on oscillating.

It is doubtful, however, strongly, that caused even by these lock-free horizontal networking and qualitatively better stories. When thinking of an osmotic process and ozilllierenden Community will be rewarded in the constructive contributions that are relevant to all, this is the snag! There are not always capable of thinking the majority performances that have brought more humanity. Maybe the result is less to save the world than their mediocre leveling? Perhaps it makes more sense to train autonomous thinking, rather than develop an "electronic touch" and a "collective presence?

contribution to the future of humanity: The most beautiful sentence in the book is: "Adam and Eve did not need a cell phone." The book makes clear that the complexity of the principles of order a society with the claims of its members increases. This also increases the complexity of interpretation services. The opposite of the way, is called New Age.

Michael Maier: The first days of the future. How do we change our thinking to the Internet and save the world. 2008th Pendo Verlag: Munich. ISBN 978-3-86612-171-3